Nick Arama


There’s a new poll out that is post-debate and post-news of President Donald Trump getting the Wuhan coronavirus. As such, it provides an interesting window into what voters may be thinking about those two events.

The Zogby poll shows that the President has continued to narrow the polling numbers gap with Joe Biden.

Their July 8th poll showed Biden leading Trump 49% to 42%, their August 29th poll had Biden leading by six points (48% to 42%).

But now, their poll has Biden only leading by two points, 49% to 47%, with 4% not sure. That’s basically a statistical dead-heat. If you factor in the “shy Trump” vote, it might even put Trump on the winning side of the poll.

From Townhall:

The former VP is leading among Democrats 91%-8%, voters 18-29 years of age (60%-35%) and those 30-49 (50%-45%), as well as among women (56%-41%), Progressives (85%-15%), Liberals (85%-14%) and Moderates (58%-36%). He also leads among Hispanics is 61%-34% and Blacks (87%-11%).

The President, who was hospitalized before the poll was launched, leads among fellow Republicans (94%-6%), voters 50-64 (53%-45%) and those over 65 (50%-47%). As of now, Mr. Trump is capturing a slight majority of Catholic voters (51%-46%), Evangelicals (68%-32%), Conservatives (78%-18%), and Very Conservative voters (92%-8%). He also is ahead among Whites (56%-40%) and parents of children under 17 living at home (54%-40%).

Now, the numbers tally with what we previously reported — that Trump has made inroads with the Hispanic and Black vote, with numbers higher than what he got in 2016. Other polls have Trump making even greater inroads with Black voters as we’ve also previously reported.

Pollster John Zogby had predicted Biden would widen his lead after the announcement about Trump coming down with the virus, but that didn’t happen.

“Contrary to my own observations, it looks like the President has not been hurt by his debate performance nor his hospitalization,” Zogby said. “His 47% performance is actually one point higher than his vote percentage in 2016.”

Zogby noted trouble points for Biden.

First, his numbers among Hispanics and Black voters were lower than they needed to be to ward off Trump.

From Zogby:

His numbers among Hispanics are respectable but not quite at the 66%-67% he really needs. The same with Blacks. His 86% is better than our last poll but he needs to hit 90%, especially in those key battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Georgia.

Second, Biden had also lost ground among independents with their last poll showed Biden leading strongly among independents but now the two candidates were tied with 12% still undecided.

Zogby also echoed the likelihood that Trump could win the “count on Election Day” but that Biden might have a lot of mail-ins come after Election Day.

Author: Nick Arama

Source: Red State: New Poll Taken After Trump’s Hospitalization Shows Movement Media Didn’t Anticipate

Democrats may really regret what they’ve done trying to push mail-in voting.

Because from the stories we’ve already seen, it’s just going to be a huge mess.

As we previously reported, there are already accusations of ballot harvesting against the Democrats in Minnesota and in Texas.

But even beyond questions of fraud, just the expansion to millions more ballots by mail-in voting or absentee ballot is, in and of itself, adding more steps that can go wrong. We’ve seen ballots being discarded or ending up in a ditch.

When it’s a limited amount of absentee ballots, it’s able to be handled. But be prepared for absolute bedlam coming, especially with some critical states trying to push back how long they’re giving for ballots to come in.

Take the most recent issues being reported in New York City.

Gothamist is reporting that people have received ballots but the envelope that they’re supposed to return their ballots in has someone else’s name on it. Even a CNN reporter got one and reported on the problem.

So far, voters in Park Slope, Prospect Heights, Carroll Gardens, Crown Heights, Clinton Hill, Bushwick, Flatbush, Brooklyn Heights, and Sunset Park have already reported the issue. More than 140,000 absentee ballots have gone out across the borough.

The Board of Elections is calling it a vendor error. They had a vendor send it out? Yikes. Doesn’t exactly inspire confidence. Does anyone else wonder why they’re having a private vendor do it when it’s literally their responsibility? One more step to screw up.

But that’s not the only issue.

NYC voters are wrongly receiving mail-in ballots marked for military use, despite never having served in the military, according to the NY Post.

The misprint makes it appear that the voters received a “Official Military Absentee Ballot” instead of a “Military/Absentee Ballot,” leaving several borough residents who received the documents — including two Post journalists — worried that their votes might not be properly tallied.

Now the BOE has said those would still be counted and the problem is a typo that no one picked up.

CNN is now saying 100,000 voters got ballots with the wrong address/name on the return envelope and that everyone will be getting a new ballot. So how many will try to double vote with the old ballot and the wrong name return envelope? That’s 100,000 extra ballots floating out there.

The election is going to be a horror show.

Author: Nick Arama

Source: Red State: The Horror Show Is Underway: Almost 100,000 People in NY Get Ballots With the Wrong Return Envelopes

As I reported last night, one of the few reasons that some people in the middle might lean toward Joe Biden is if they bought the fiction Democrats were selling of Biden as some force for normality, as Ben Shapiro observed.

But that’s gotten blown up a lot with the Democrats’ approach to riots and now the threats they’ve been putting out there because President Donald Trump and the Republicans on the Senate want to perform their Constitutional duty as regards the vacancy on the Supreme Court.

Now, Biden himself is breaking more of those norms, refusing to put forth a list of whom he would consider for the Supreme Court, a normal thing that every Presidential candidate puts out.

Here he is saying it’s “inappropriate to name that list” of people.

When asked if voters should know who he would appoint, he says, “no, they don’t” but they will know “if I’m elected” in “plenty of time.”

You have to elect me to find out what I’d do. Shades of Nancy Pelosi.

Why is Biden refusing to put out a list? Unless his thoughts are so extreme, he feels that putting it out there would be too revealing. President Donald Trump has put out two lists and White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany has said his choice is on those lists. What is Biden afraid of?

Notice another thing. Every time he’s cornered on a question he doesn’t want to answer, he claims that ‘Trump is just trying to distract.’ What Trump? It’s a normal question, that media and Americans have a right to know, what does it have to do with Trump? It’s part of how the people will evaluate whether they want to vote for him or not. But he’s saying now you wouldn’t even know what who he’s thinking about until after he’s elected? That’s nuts. He’s really trying to slip through with as little examination as possible, no questions and nothing that might rock the boat.

He even said in June that they were working on a list of ‘black women.’ So where is that list?

Some Democrats like House Judiciary Committee Chair Jerry Nadler (D-NY) have threatened court packing.

So Biden was asked by a local reporter if he would be in favor of court packing if he were elected.

Biden refuses to answer, saying it would allow Trump to change the subject. As he, Biden, tries to change the subject. He’s literally not ruling out completely upending all norms and being in favor of Democrats grabbing all kinds of power if he were elected.

Author: Nick Arama

Source: Red State: Biden Breaks All Norms With His Answers on His Supreme Court List and Court Packing

Rasmussen has some pretty fascinating polling out.

While Rasmussen does tend to have more positive polling for the president, they also were among the few who were accurate in 2016. One of the reasons is because they evaluate “likely voters” and not just registered voters like some polls, arguably a better measure of who will actually be voting and therefore the results.

Their numbers just out are now put President Donald Trump ahead of Joe Biden in the race, 47% to 46%, a one point lead, the first time he’s lead in the race according to the polls. Biden had a two point lead last week which appears to have been erased.

One of the other factors in the poll, according to Rasmussen, is that they didn’t oversample Democrats as do many other polls. Their sample was 37 were Democrats, 33% Republican and 31% independent of likely voters.

In addition to that, Rasmussen found that Trump also again reached his highest approval rating again, 52% at a critical point now just before the election.

While other polls still have Biden up, the gap has narrowed considerably and they are oversampling and not counting the hidden Trump vote, so it’s likely closer to Rasmussen in reality.

All the data points have been moving favorably toward Trump, including attracting minority support.

From Washington Examiner:

Rasmussen said that both Biden and Trump hold 80% of their base. And, it said Trump is attracting minorities. “Trump shows surprising strength among other minority voters, suggesting perhaps that he is attracting Hispanic support as violent racial protests continue in many major cities,” said the analysis. [….]

A key to past reelection victories has been a national approval rating of about 50%. Trump’s average has been well below that over his three-plus years in office, but like former Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama, he appears to be peaking just in time.

This may not even be factoring in yet his successes in the Middle East, with achieving a peace deal signed between Israel, the UAE, and Bahrain, with more Arab nations likely to come on board. That’s an incredible achievement that moves the Middle East closer to real peace and isolates the bad actors like Iran.

But what is being factored in would appear to the riots, according to Rasmussen Reports.

Three-out-of-four voters who’ve had violent anti-police protests in their community rate those protests important to their vote in the presidential election. Among these voters, a sizable majority like the job President Trump is doing.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 42% of Likely U.S. Voters have had anti-police protests in their community this summer.

Nearly half (48%) of these voters say the protests in their community have turned violent.

Among all voters, 65% say the violent protests are important to their vote in the presidential election this fall, with 41% who say it’s Very Important.

Among those who have had violent protests in their community, even more (76%) rate them important to their vote, including 54% who say they are Very Important. Sixty-three percent (63%) of these voters Strongly Approve of the job Trump is doing versus 35% who Strongly Disapprove.

Most voters looking at the violent protests are seeing them as “criminal in nature.” Because they have eyes and they’re sane. And people are also seeing that it’s the Democratic leaders who are making it worse by not dealing with it appropriately.

That isn’t helpful to Democrats or Biden. The Biden staff and Kamala Harris donated to a fund to help bail out people arrested during the riots and encouraged other people to do so as well. Not to mention fully embraced the BLM during their convention where they completely ignored the violent nature of the riots. Americans are apparently getting it and they’re not liking it.

Author: Nick Arama

Source: Red State: New Poll: Trump Now Leading Over Biden, Approval at Record High, Opinion on Riots May Be Nail in Biden’s Campaign

The Republican convention is being covered by C-Span just as the Democratic convention was.

C-Span had people calling in to talk about the convention. We covered one of those calls last night from a man who said he was a lifelong Democrat but would now be voting for Trump.

But there was another call that just says everything for the millions of Americans watching the insane anarchy that has been going on in cities around the country.

The woman caller was from Minnesota not far from where there had been rioting. It was clear that she felt abandoned by her own party when looking at the Democratic convention which embraced the BLM spoke persistently about the “peaceful protesters” and didn’t speak to any of the concerns she had about safety or recovering the economy after the disaster in her area from both the pandemic and the riots.

It wasn’t until she heard the Republican convention that she began to feel that there might be hope that someone would care about their concerns.

“Not a mention” about the riots, the woman said, at the Democratic convention, nothing about “rebuilding our businesses.” The Republican convention “has awakened me,” she said emotionally, “that there is hope, that there are people, willing to fight for us people, in our communities.” The reporter asked her if she was frightened, to which she replied, “Absolutely!”

Here’s a little bit of the story she was referencing at the end about the Democratic politician, John Thompson who went to a Hugo, MN suburb with a BLM crowd and threatened the neighborhood because a police official lived there.

Warning for language.

The woman who called into C-Span not only sees Democrats not speaking up but actually being involved with this kind of behavior. Meanwhile the Republican convention addressed the question and said the madness should be stopped and they would work to stop it. They also talked about bringing businesses back and building the economy as well. This woman is a Democrat but it’s pretty clear that she wouldn’t be voting for a Democrat come this November.

This is what millions of Americans are seeing and this has many moving to vote for the president even people who say they never could have conceived of voting for him, who maybe hated him six months ago, because they see he gets the problem, while Democrats are insane, embracing it and still calling it “peaceful protest.”

But they helped start this nonsense, stoking it when it started and suggesting it was justified. But they can’t run away from the disaster they contributed to.

Author: Nick Arama

Source: Red State: Dem Woman’s Heartbreaking Call to C-Span About Riots Explains Why Trump Is Going to Win

As we reported Monday night and earlier, Michelle Obama took a little license with truth and reality with her DNC speech in which she attacked President Donald Trump.

While most media either fawned over her, as we reported earlier, or printed what she said uncritically, not pointing out the lies, she told one whopper so big that the AP fact-checkers just couldn’t let it pass.

Now, there are actually a few lies in this clip including “peaceful protesters” and “emboldening white supremacists.”

But the obvious deception the AP nailed was the chastising Trump for the kids in “cages” when it was her husband and Joe Biden who built the “cages.”

Not only did they call it out, they called it out very honestly, noting the effort by Democrats, in general, to continue to lie about the “cages” and blame Trump.

From the Seattle Times:

A look at her remark in the keynote address at the opening night of the remote Democratic National Convention:

MICHELLE OBAMA, on Americans: “They watch in horror as children are torn from their families and thrown into cages.”

THE FACTS: The reference to cages is misleading and a matter that Democrats have persistently distorted.

Trump used facilities that were built during the Obama-Biden administration to house children at the border. They are chain-link enclosures inside border facilities where migrants were temporarily housed, separated by sex and age.

At the height of the controversy over Trump’s zero-tolerance policy at the border, photos that circulated online of children in the enclosures generated great anger. But those photos — by The Associated Press — were taken in 2014 and depicted some of the thousands of unaccompanied children held by President Barack Obama.

When that fact came to light, some Democrats and activists who had tweeted the photos deleted their tweets. But prominent Democrats have continued to cite cages for children as a distinctive cruelty of Trump.

These were never cages in the sense that people generally consider cages, they were huge holding areas that folks were held in when they first came into a border control facility, that were separated by chain link fencing. But the media never cared about the “cages” although Obama had thousands of kids there and they were problematic for overcrowding.


HT: Twitchy

Author: Nick Arama

Source: Red State: Michelle Obama Told Such Big Whoppers in Her DNC Speech, Even the AP Had to Call Her out on at Least One

On Monday, as we reported, President Donald Trump was briefly evacuated from the briefing room at about 5:45 p.m. As he was speaking to the press, an agent came into the room and informed him there had been a shooting outside the White House compound.

A person who appeared to be unwell was shot by the Secret Service when he allegedly made threatening gestures mimicking a gun.

But turns out there was another incident earlier in the day that the military is just reporting on now.

According to U.S. News:

The UH-1N Huey helicopter, assigned to Joint Base Andrews just outside of Washington, D.C., was conducting a routine training flight roughly 1,000 feet above the ground before it was forced to make an emergency landing at an airport in nearby Manassas, Virginia, after being struck by a bullet, an Air Force spokesperson tells U.S. News. The helicopter is assigned to the 1st Helicopter Squadron, which supports the movement of the president and other senior government officials to and from Andrews, where Air Force One is also based.

The FBI dispatched special agents and its Evidence Response Team to the airport after receiving reports about the shooting, its Washington Field Office said in a statement provided to U.S. News. It is currently conducting a joint investigation with the Air Force Office of Special Investigations and local law enforcement agencies.

One crew member was injured in the incident. Paramedics treated the injured crew member and took him to the hospital with a non-life threatening injury. The helicopter also was damaged in the shooting.

Now there’s no indication that the two incidents are related, but that might explain why the agents took the extra care of getting the president out of the briefing room that evening. They might have been more on alert because of the shooting in Virginia at the helicopter. That’s a pretty troubling Monday for the security folks involved and let’s hope that the shooting at the helicopter wasn’t meant as an attack. But given the nature of the assignment, it raises the question.

It’s not clear yet who was behind the shooting at the helicopter but the injured crew member has since been released from the hospital.

Author: Nick Arama

Source: Red State: Helicopter Assigned to Trump Support Detail Shot at in the Air Over Virginia, One Injury

St. Louis prosecutor Kim Gardner justifiably got a lot of criticism for filing charges against Mark and Patricia McCloskey for displaying guns to defend themselves and their property.

Given her political leanings, it seemed a completely political move on her part.

But perhaps she should have been holding up a mirror to herself and keeping her own house in order.

According to reports by KMOV4, she allegedly took several trips that she failed to disclose including to Portugal, Houston, Selma and New Haven, despite the law requiring that they be disclosed.

From Washington Examiner:

“When something isn’t reported, the public has a right to ask, ‘Well, why wasn’t it?’” said Patrick Ishmael of the Show-Me Institute, a Missouri think tank. “Elected officials have an obligation to be transparent, and that’s especially true related to their duty because the public wants to know their officials are working for the interest and not someone else’s.”

Every elected official in St. Louis is required by law to disclose travel no matter if it was funded by public or private dollars. Missouri also has statewide laws that require disclosures in some cases. Gardner reportedly did not disclose any trips in 2018 or 2019 despite taking trips funded by a liberal organization called Fair and Just Prosecution, which has lauded her decision to prosecute the McCloskeys after they brandished and pointed weapons at protesters who broke into their private neighborhood last month.

She had other trips funded by FJP in the past in 2017, including to New York, Chicago, Seattle and Philadelphia, but she disclosed them.

City ‘sources’ finked her out, with some saying that she was unreachable when she was traveling.

She denied any quid pro quo for actions, said KMOV4:

“Since shortly after her election, Circuit Attorney Gardner has been an active member in Fair and Just Prosecution’s network of progressive prosecutors. She was invited to participate because of her beliefs, values, and goals. Those goals are in line with FJP’s priorities and the same as policies the Circuit Attorney has promised to deliver for St. Louis since day one. The suggestion that there is any quid pro quo involved here is patently absurd,” her office said in a statement. [….]

The office said that Gardner would not apologize for not disclosing her travel because it is a “veiled attempt to disparage” the attorney.

Gardner was backed in her election to the office by a Soros-backed PAC.

Fair and Just Prosecution responded to some of News 4’s questions, saying they generally will pay for prosecutors’ food, lodging and airfare for their events, which they say is standard practice of other non-profits. They did not, however, confirm the number of trips Gardner or Bell have taken with them.

They also say their funding comes from a number of sources, saying only a tiny fraction came from an entity related to George Soros, a billionaire philanthropist.

Gardener has also faced criticism for fundraising off the McCloskey case from their attorney, who is now asking that the case be dismissed because of that.

Her campaign sent out an email on July 17 that directly spoke of the case and then of donations.

From Daily Caller:

The email went on to say that “President Trump and the Governor are fighting for the two who pointed guns at peaceful citizens during the Black Lives Matter protests” and later included a request for campaign donations, the court documents show.

Gardner leveled felony weapons charges against the McCloskeys on July 20. On July 22, her campaign sent out another fundraising email that directly leveraged her decision to charge the couple.

“In the last 24 hours, there has been a lot of national attention surrounding Kim’s decision to press charges against a couple that brandished guns at a peaceful Black Lives Matter protest,” the July 22 email said, according to court documents. The email went on to ask supporters to “rush a donation today” to signal their support for her in the case, court documents show.

“Ms. Gardner, via her campaign mailers, linked the criminal proceedings against [the McCloskeys] to her personal, financial and political interests,” Joel Schwartz, the couple’s attorney, wrote in the motion Wednesday.

Author: Nick Arama

Source: Red State: St. Louis Prosecutor Who Was Going After the McCloskeys Now Has a Small Problem of Her Own

Last week, in an effort to attack President Donald Trump, Mayor Bill de Blasio spent city time and money to paint a Black Lives Matter on the street outside of Trump Tower. While Trump has been supportive of the general statement, he has been critical of the far leftist BLM group.

From Townhall:

“When we say ‘Black Lives Matter,’ there is no more American statement, there is no more patriotic statement because there is no America without Black America,” de Blasio said in a statement. “We are acknowledging the truth of ourselves as Americans by saying ‘Black Lives Matter.’ We are righting a wrong.”

On the contrary, painting a symbol on the ground does nothing to right wrongs and is all about trying to gain political points. What actually says you care about black lives is action, actually righting wrongs, like stopping the spikes in shootings that that took the life of 1 year old Davell Gardner, Jr. on Sunday, as he sat in his stroller with his family at a cookout in Brooklyn. It means putting back the anticrime unit that helped save lives that you removed in an effort to appease the “defund the police” folks.

De Blasio got heckled for his priorities when he was helping to paint the letters on the street.

Then someone tossed red paint on it on Monday.

He had it repainted within hours and then made it clear that it was about endorsing the BLM political movement.

Meanwhile failing to actually care about the lives of New Yorkers, including black lives.

Plus, 5 more people were shot in the hours after the little boy was shot on Sunday.

What’s ironic on top of it all is that if you if this were vandalism done by BLM activists, it likely wouldn’t be investigated at all. But this is being investigated by the police that the BLM wants to defund.

Author: Nick Arama

Source: Red State: NYC Paints ‘Black Lives Matter’ on Street, It Gets Defaced, De Blasio’s Response Says Everything About Him

Liberal media are doing their best to try to make John Bolton’s book a “thing.”

Because, of course, if it makes President Donald Trump look bad, they’re all for it.

But the problem with it, as we’ve previously reported, is that his outlandish claims just don’t match reality. It just seems like he was trying to pull things out of his hat to hurt the man who fired him as well as get attention and money for his book.

I laid out some of those claims and how ridiculous they were here. U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer completely disputes Bolton’s crazy claim about asking China for election help and discussing Uighur concentration camps, noting he was there and he heard no such thing. Former National Security Council Chief of Staff Fred Fleitz laid out what he believes the “turning point” was as to why his former boss Bolton might have flipped — one that Fleitz believes “disproves his whole book.”

Now South Korea is calling out Bolton’s claims in the book as well.

From Daily Wire:

A South Korean security official says that Bolton’s version of the events surrounding three U.S.-North Korea summits that took place from June 2018-June 2019 is “distorted.” In his book, Bolton claims that South Korean President Moon Jae-in set unrealistic expectations for the talks while pursuing his own agenda to unify the Korean peninsula. Bolton describes Moon as “schizophrenic,” according to Reuters.

“It does not reflect accurate facts and substantially distorts facts,” South Korea national security adviser Chung Eui-yong said, adding that Bolton’s published account of internal deliberations between the heads of state set a “dangerous precedent.”

“Unilaterally publishing consultations made based on mutual trust violates the basic principles of diplomacy and could severely damage future negotiations,” Chung said.

In other words, Bolton is endangering our international relations with the nonsense that he’s spreading. This is why such books are not published until the president the person served is out of office or until they will not adversely impact the United States. But Bolton apparently was more concerned about being sensational.

The DOJ had tried to stop the book because Bolton hadn’t gotten permission prior to publication and violated rules as to publishing classified information. While the Judge, Royce Lamberth, ruled that basically the horse was out of the barn with trying to stop the book, he found that if Bolton hadn’t gotten permission, he could forfeit his $2 million book advance and be in big trouble.

“Bolton has gambled with the national security of the United States,” Lamberth wrote in his decision, according to The New York Times. “He has exposed his country to harm and himself to civil (and potentially criminal) liability.

Author: Nick Arama

Source: Red State: South Korea Busts Bolton, Says He ‘Distorts’ Facts in Book; Judge Says He May Be Subject to Civil or Criminal Liability

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