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Shipwreckedcrew

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For anything to have even a remote chance of changing when it comes to the outcome of the Electoral College, the current status of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Georgia must change.

Pennsylvania is a bit of a mess at this point, but there are meaningful challenges to the vote totals still pending, the adverse decision in federal district court is being appealed (interestingly, only the denial of leave to amend is being appealed), and a new complaint relating to Philadelphia and the surrounding counties is being suggested as a possibility. I’ll summarize these in a day or two as more comes into focus this week.

The campaign has asked for recounts in two Wisconsin counties — Dane and Milwaukee. Both produced a large number of Biden votes — Dane County particularly. I’m not sure exactly what the goal is in recounting those counties, but it seems as if Wisconsin law allows challenges to ballots to be made during the recount process. The margin is only 20,000 votes out of 3.2 million cast, so it is not out of the question that if there was some nefarious practice engaged in, a recount might uncover a decent number of votes. Wisconsin has same-day registration, so the emphasis might be to target suspicious registrations as potentially invalid votes in those two counties.

But in Georgia, the approach seems to be a normal election contest that will take place in Georgia state court, and the evidence may be coming into focus that gives the Campaign a legitimate chance to reverse the outcome. The margin of Biden’s win in Georgia is only 12,500 votes, and the Trump campaign has requested a machine recount which they are entitled to under Georgia law given the narrow margin. After that, I am expecting that the Campaign will file a Petition to Challenge the election as explained in more detail below.

What the Trump campaign seems to be focusing on is the validity of approximately 1 million new voter registrations between Nov. 2018 and Nov. 2020. From official Georgia state records:

Nov. 2018: 6,248,591 Active Registered Voters

Nov. 2020: 7,233,584 Active Registered Voters

To register to vote in Georgia, an applicant must provide a residence address. The applicant can provide a different mailing address, but a residence address is required as that determines what election district the applicant will vote in and on what local races. This requirement is clearly set forth on the application.

Absentee ballots cast in 2020 totaled 1,322,529. I expect the campaign is spending time and resources cross-referencing the newly registered voters against the mail-in ballots.

But a person connected to the campaign has already given some hints on Twitter as to what the Campaign is looking at:

There is also anecdotal information — not yet verified — that many such businesses in the metro-Atlanta area exhausted their inventory of available boxes in September and October.

To the extent they are able, what it seems the campaign is doing is cross-referencing the street addresses of these commercial mail-drop businesses against voter registration information.

The issue of the “signature matching” requirements under Georgia law — as modified by the Secretary of State in settling a lawsuit brought by the Democrat Party of Georgia — is also at issue.

I covered this topic in connection with a lawsuit filed by famed Atlanta Attorney Lin Wood — with himself as Plaintiff — as part of which he filed approximately 20 affidavits from persons who had been involved in the hand recount ordered by the Secretary of State. That lawsuit was dismissed by a federal judge last week on the basis that Wood as an individual lacked standing to bring the claims he made. The Judge asked during an evidentiary hearing why the Trump campaign had not joined the lawsuit, and I think we can see now why that is the case.

The Wood lawsuit called public attention to certain irregularities as set forth in the filed affidavits. But, in addition to that information, the Trump Campaign is focused on the likelihood that illegitimate votes were cast by individuals who were not lawfully registered. Because individual ballots in Georgia have barcode identifiers, it is possible to eliminate specific illegally cast ballots from the vote count. That is the remedy the Trump campaign will be focused on — if it finds more than 10,000 voters with defects in their registration.

But the “signature matching” question remains an issue as well. Late last week, the Secretary of State released information on the signature rejection rates for absentee ballots. Here is what was said:

2,011 absentee ballots were rejected in the November 2020 election for missing or non-matching signatures out of 1,322,529 absentee ballots cast. In November 2018, 454 absentee ballots were rejected for missing or non-matching signatures out of 284,393 absentee ballots cast. The 0.15% rejection rate for signature issues was the same in both the 2018 and 2020 General Elections.

In the 2020 Primary, 3,266 absentee ballot were rejected for missing or non-matching signatures out of 1,151,371 absentee ballots cast, a rejection rate of 0.28%. The lower rejection rate in the general election compared to the primary is likely the result of both parties attempting to help voters cure their absentee ballots pursuant to the process set forth in Georgia statute.

Georgia law allows absentee voters who have their ballots rejected to “cure” the defect by sending this affidavit to the County Board of Elections within three days of the election.

If the .28% rejection rate from the primary was applied to the general election — prior to “curing” — the number of rejected ballots would be approximately 3700 votes. If the difference between the .14 and .28 rejection rates is attributable to “curing”, then the State should be able to document 1700 such affidavits. Or, more accurately, the individual Counties should be able to document 1700 such affidavits.

And that ASSUMES the “signature matching” requirement was diligently enforced. It would be an interesting statistical analysis to see the rejection rates due to signature mismatches of the individual counties.

Finally, some believe that the fact that the Secretary of State has “certified” the results means the efforts are hopeless. That is not true. The election contest provisions under Georgia law do not come into play until after the result is “certified” — prior to that, there is nothing to “contest” other than an unofficial vote count.

A petition to contest the election must be filed within 5 days of certification of the results and can be filed in any county with jurisdiction. Since this was a statewide election, I believe this means that the Campaign can select any county in the state in which to file their petition, and the trial on the matter will take place before a Superior Court Judge in that County. I’m still looking for confirmation on this issue, so at this point, let’s make that point “tentative”.

Under Georgia Code § 21-2-522, the grounds for challenging the outcome of an election are as follows:

A result of a primary or election may be contested on one or more of the following grounds:

(1) Misconduct, fraud, or irregularity by any primary or election official or officials sufficient to change or place in doubt the result;

(2) When the defendant is ineligible for the nomination or office in dispute;

(3) When illegal votes have been received or legal votes rejected at the polls sufficient to change or place in doubt the result;

(4) For any error in counting the votes or declaring the result of the primary or election, if such error would change the result; or

(5) For any other cause which shows that another was the person legally nominated, elected, or eligible to compete in a run-off primary or election.

This is why the campaign is looking into the legitimacy of the recent registrations by Georgia voters who then cast absentee ballots. If their registration was invalid, then they cast illegal votes.

Ineligible voters who cast ballots are deemed by Georgia law to have cast “illegal votes”. This isn’t a legal brief so I’m not going to cite cases for everyone. But there is case authority in Georgia where voters cast ballots in the wrong district, those votes were declared “illegal” — and those voters were otherwise properly registered.

The Trump campaign will not only need to show that there were 12,500 such unqualified voters, but it will also actually need to show that there were 12,500 such voters who voted for Biden — that is the number necessary to place the outcome in doubt.

The election contest statutes call for a trial on a schedule determined by the Judge who presides over the case. This is exactly what happened in Florida in 2000 — a state court judge conducted a “trial” with witness testimony and evidence within days of the contest being filed because all involved knew the clock was ticking on the meeting of the Electoral College.

The speed with which this will proceed is why the Campaign needs to have all of its evidence together before filing the Petition, which I expect it will do on the last day.

The remedy provided by law is a bit uncertain. Here is what the statute says:

(d) Whenever the court trying a contest shall determine that the primary, election, or runoff is so defective as to the nomination, office, or eligibility in contest as to place in doubt the result of the entire primary, election, or runoff for such nomination, office, or eligibility, such court shall declare the primary, election, or runoff to be invalid with regard to such nomination, office, or eligibility and shall call for a second primary, election, or runoff to be conducted among all of the same candidates who participated in the primary, election, or runoff to fill such nomination or office which was declared invalid and shall set the date for such second primary, election, or runoff.

The statute does not provide that the loser of the election who prevails in the election contest shall be declared the election winner. Rather, the remedy is to void the election results. Since a second election is not possible, that would seem to put the matter in the hands of the Georgia Legislature — controlled by the GOP.

If the Biden victory is proven to have been the result of ineligible votes, there should be no issue with the Georgia Legislature naming electors for Donald Trump.

Buckle up for a wild couple of weeks if the Campaign is able to document 12,500 illegal votes.

Author: Shipwreckedcrew

Source: Red State: The Trump Campaign Has a Very Real Chance to Overturn the Election Result in Georgia

The City of Philadelphia descended into near anarchy on Tuesday night, with large sections of the city in total chaos as major chain stores were looted of all their contents.

The night of violence came just over 24 hours after Philadelphia police shot and killed a black man with a knife as he advanced upon them.

Videographers who are veterans of street protests such as those in Porttand and Seattle expressed real fear for their own safety, and did not remain with the crowds doing the looting.

Police are trying to make arrests, but the action simply overwhelms them.

I wonder how pollsters will account for this violence in their “weighting” of the data?

Author: Shipwreckedcrew

Source: Red State: Horrific Night of Violence and Looting in Philadelphia — Police Powerless To Bring Order

The National Review has unearthed an interview of newly-elected Joe Biden by Kitty Kelly, published in Washingtonian Magazine on June 1, 1974.

Biden’s comments on a variety of subjects during that interview — granted it was 1974 when he was only 31 — are not only cringe-worthy, in some cases they are contemptible.

One thing that cannot be missed — again a reflection of a bygone era — is the degree to which Biden focused on income, wealth, and status as things that he felt entitled to by virtue of his election to the Senate.

The simple reality is that Joe Biden had long been considered the clown of the Senate until Barack Obama selected him to be his Vice Presidential running mate in 2008. But for Obama, the fact that Biden was not taken seriously by anyone in Washington as a serious actor was a virtue, not a bug when it came to Biden. Obama asked for only two things from Biden — first, that he help with communications with the Old Bulls in the Senate who Biden had served with for 36 years; and second that Biden not be a “threat” as an independent power center in the Administration. Obama wanted someone the complete opposite of Dick Cheney when it came to a Vice President. Joe Biden was perfect for that role — as his 36-year long audition in the Senate and two pathetic efforts to run for President proved.

As is widely known now, Joe Biden’s first wife, Neilia, and his infant daughter were killed in a car accident not long after he was first elected to the Senate in November 1972. That fact, combined with Biden being the youngest member of the Senate and a father to two small boys, gave Biden a level of notoriety uncommon to his status as being a first-term Senator from a small state.

That notoriety accounted for the high profile nature of this particular interview in the august publication at the time in 1974. From that article, here are some comments that Kelly reported Biden having said:

Biden says he no longer allows himself the luxury of long-range planning, but he enjoys the prestige of being a Senator and seems committed to finishing his six-year term. In fact, he says he might consider running for President. “My wife always wanted me to be on the Supreme Court,” he says. “But while I know I can be a good Senator, and I know I can be a good President… I know I could have easily made the White House with Neilia. And my family still expects me to be there one of these days. With them behind me anything can happen.”

Their marriage was perfect. Their children were beautiful. And they almost lived happily ever after. “Neilia was my very best friend, my greatest ally, my sensuous lover. The longer we lived together the more we enjoyed everything from sex to sports…

“My wife was the brains behind my campaign. I would never have made it here without her… I’m smart but Neilia was ten times smarter. And she had the best political sense of anybody in the world. At first she didn’t want me to run for the Senate…. At first she stayed at home with the kids while I campaigned but that didn’t work out because I’d come back too tired to talk to her. I might satisfy her in bed but I didn’t have much time for anything else.

This is a United States Senator talking about his deceased wife.

He defines politics as power. “And, whether you like it or not, young lady,” he says, leaning over his desk to shake a finger at me, “us cruddy politicians can take away that First Amendment of yours if we want to.”

On the way over to the Capitol he channels the conversation away from politics, talking about his family: “This is really a big deal for them. I’m the only Senator any of us have ever known. We never even knew anyone who knew a Senator before. At first my dad tried to talk me into running for governor but I told him I didn’t want to be a damn old administrator…

In the “Senators Only” elevator he says hello to several colleagues…. Turning to Senator Thomas Eagleton, he says, “Be careful, Tom. Ms. Kelley’s with the press and she’s here to check out those rumors about your marriage bust-up.” Eagleton smoothly changes the subject as we walk back to the office. Biden tells him a joke with an anti-semitic punchline and asks that it be off the record.

“I do indeed want to get married again. I hate the image of the gay, young bachelor about town. That’s just not my style. I am not a womanizer. I would like very much to fall in love and be married again because basically I am a family man. I want to find a woman to adore me again.”

Senator Biden’s friends say he is looking for more than a wife and mother. “He also needs to find a First Lady,” says one, “a woman who enjoys politics and will help him get to the White House. I don’t know if he’ll end up marrying Francie Barnard but I do know that the woman he marries will he as rich and as pretty as she is.”

That last line came from a friend, but that’s not something that a friend says unless they heard that same sentiment come from Biden’s own mouth. “As rich and pretty as she is” — prime qualifications, which Biden makes clear in the next segment of the interview.

The Senator shows a healthy respect for money: “Politics is a damn expensive business. I had one hell of a time trying to raise money as a candidate. I had to put a second mortgage on my house to get that campaign started, and I ended up spending over $300,000 to get elected….

He feels the indignity is compounded by the temptation to sell out to big business or big labor for financial help, and says it’s almost impossible for a candidate to remain true to his conscience in this situation. He admits that more than once he was tempted to compromise to get campaign money. “I probably would have if it hadn’t been for the ramrod character of my Scotch Presbyterian wife,” he say’s. “I am not a rich man. And my family does not have money. If I sold every thing I own, including my house and cars, I could probably’ scratch up S200,000, but that’s nothing compared to most of the guys in the Senate.”

Unlike most other senators, Biden makes no bones about saving he is underpaid. ….“I dont know about the rest of you but I am worth a lot more than my salary of $42,500 a year in this body. It seems to me that we should flat out tell the American people we are worth our salt.”

In 2008, the New York Times did a profile on Biden’s financial life taking into consideration he had earned only a public servant’s salary for 36 years. But there was a reason that along the way he picked up the mocking title “Senator of MBNA”, a credit card issuing company based in Deleware.

Mr. Biden certainly can trace his roots to the working-class neighborhoods of Scranton, Pa., and Claymont, Del., where he was raised. But these days, his kitchen table can be found in a 6,800-square-foot custom-built colonial-style house on four lakefront acres, a property worth close to $3 million.

As a secure incumbent who has rarely faced serious competition during 35 years in the Senate, Mr. Biden has been able to dip into his campaign treasury to spend thousands of dollars on home landscaping and some of his Amtrak travel between Wilmington, Del., where he lives, and Washington. And the acquisition of his waterfront property a decade ago involved wealthy businessmen and campaign supporters, some of them bankers with an interest in legislation before the Senate, who bought his old house for top dollar, sold him four acres at cost and lent him $500,000 to build his new home.

Mr. Biden’s campaign said the payments to tree trimmers and lawn services, typically totaling a few thousand dollars a year, were permissible because they were tied to political events at his home….

….

Mr. Biden previously lived for 21 years in a 10,000-square-foot former DuPont mansion in Greenville, which he bought in 1975 for $185,000 after learning it was slated for demolition.

After extensive renovations, he sold it in February 1996, through word of mouth, to John R. Cochran III, the vice chairman of MBNA, one of the nation’s largest credit card companies. He agreed to pay Mr. Biden’s full asking price, $1.2 million. MBNA reimbursed Mr. Cochran for a loss he took on the sale of his old home, according to a 1997 securities filing, which said the company requested that he move to Delaware from Maryland.

….

The real estate deal was just one facet of a close relationship between Mr. Biden and MBNA, which donated more than $200,000 to his campaigns. The Delaware-based company gave a job to Mr. Biden’s son Hunter; flew Senator Biden and his wife to the Maine coast, where Mr. Biden spoke at a company retreat.

Does Joe Biden really believe anything, or is politics all a process of performance art and showmanship? He seemed to gravitate towards the latter view in the Kitty Kelly interview:

Senator Biden doesn’t believe issues make much difference in an election—personality and presentation are the key. He said as much the night he addressed the Democratic Forum, a small group of Washington liberals who meet with politicians on a regular basis. “I don’t think the issues mean a great deal in terms of whether you win or lose. I think the issues are merely a vehicle to portray your intellectual capacity to the voters . . . a vehicle by which the voters will determine your honesty and candor. The central issue of my campaign—and I used all the issues from busing to the war to the economy, crime, and prison reform—was to convince the people that I was intelligent and to convince them that I was honest.

….

[N]o one in that audience doubted that Senator Biden would be coming back to them in a few years as a Presidential contender. “He really put on quite a show,” said one man after the speech. “He won the audience over by being so open. I’m not sure he doesn’t use candor as a calculated device. It’s probably more deliberate than spontaneous. But it works. His performance is so professionally orchestrated it seems natural and sincere. He knows he looks good and he knows he sounds good, and I must admit, compared to the rest of those tired old hacks on Capitol Hill, he is the best and brightest hope we have right now. I’d vote for him for President.”

Joe Biden embodies all the worst traits of the professional political class that came of age after Nixon. He’s the perfect embodiment of everything Donald Trump’s first campaign was about — throwing them out that is.

Author: Shipwreckedcrew

Source: Red State: Joe Biden’s Earliest Days in the Senate as Revealed in a 1974 Interview: Crass and Venal, Using His Office for Monetary Gain

A gentleman named John Thompson is running for Minnesota State House District 67A.

Actually that is not quite accurate — John Thompson is not a gentleman.

John Thompson is a vile, pathetic, cretin of a human being.

But I will start this piece with this acknowledgment — according to his campaign website, he was a friend and co-worker of Philando Castile who was killed by a police officer from the St. Anthony’s Police Department, a suburb of Minneapolis.

Mr. Thomspon states that the death of his friend at the hands of the police was the animating factor in his decision to get involved as a community activist, and now to run for office. He’s a member of the DFL — the Minnesota Democrat Party, and his website is full of positions on issues that are pretty much right out of the AOC/Omar/Talib playbook on matters such as Single-Payer Healthcare, Green New Deal, Immigration, Economic Prosperity for All — and, of course, Criminal Justice Reform.

Philando Castile was pulled over while driving his car with his girlfriend Diamond Reynolds and her four-year old daughter. Castile was carrying a firearm for which he had a concealed carry permit. When the officer approached the car and engaged Castile in conversation, Castile told the officer her was armed and had a permit. The officer told him to not reach for it, and Castile said he was not doing so as he reached for his wallet. The officer again warned Castile to not pull it out, and Castile said he was not but continued to reach for his wallet. The officer warned him one more time and then fired seven rounds, five of which struck Castile, mortally wounding him.

Castile had not done anything wrong. He was killed by a poorly trained and panicky police officer from a small department of a small community.

The officer was later charged with manslaughter, but was acquitted by a jury on all counts a trial.

That officer’s name was Jeronimo Yanez. He is not a caucasian — he’s Hispanic/Latino.

So John Thompson comes to his activism on the issue of police reform honestly. A close friend is dead as a result of horrible police officer misjudgment — but misjudgment that a jury found to not be criminal.

But his is not a campaign rally based on the issue of police reform. I give you John Thompson — the language is raw:

“I’m a black man being terrorized by this f**king Klansman right here.”

“We are terrorized by the Grand Wizard. You’all got the Grand Wizard living in your God-damned neighborhood.”

“The Klan exists in Hugo, Minnesota.”

“Don’t run now. Don’t run now racist white people. I’m here.”

“And if the people in Hugo don’t support black people, f**k Hugo, Minnesota.”

One more video of Thompson:

Thompson pulled this little stunt — notice how well organized it is with the numerous cameras on tripods — in front of the house of Bob Kroll, the President of the Police Officers Federation of Minneapolis.

His family was barbequing in their driveway when Thompson and his race-baiting supporters arrived.

The episode is covered in the local press in this story. The story notes he has been endorsed by Minnesota Governor Tim Walz.

Remember, that 20% of the police force in Minneapolis is currently in the process of seeking medical disability retirement based on PTSD. That’s 25% of the force of 800 officers.

I fear it won’t be long before Minneapolis residents won’t get “justice” or “peace” — other than vigilante justice.

Author: Shipwreckedcrew

Source: Red State: Democrat Candidate for Minnesota State House Invades Quiet Neighborhood for a Profanity Laced Rant In Front Of Police Union Official’s House

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